Capability 01

See earlier. Decide with explicit conditions.

Strategic intelligence advisory and OSINT advisory turn geopolitical, economic, regulatory and market signals into scenarios, indicators and operating implications.

03.1 / Intelligence & Risk

Integrated Sentinel capability

Utgangspunktet

Information has value only when it changes a decision.

Geopolitical advisory, geopolitical risk analysis and country risk analysis are not news summaries: they qualify sources, distinguish facts from inferences and connect every signal to a decision, threshold or accountable owner.

Open-source intelligence includes geopolitical OSINT and corporate OSINT conducted exclusively on open, accessible or lawfully available sources. Private investigations, surveillance, pretexting, unauthorised access, circumvention of protections and collection unrelated to the mandate are excluded. When a mandate requires reserved activities, Sentinel engages only qualified third parties and, where required, parties authorised for the specific activity and jurisdiction, keeping mandates, responsibilities and data processing separate.

01Source qualification
02OSINT governance
03Leading indicators
04Decision thresholds

Scope

Actionable intelligence

01.01

OSINT & Open-Source Intelligence

Collection and documentary analysis of open, licensed or client-provided sources, with traceability, verification, minimisation and purposes defined by the mandate.

01.02

Country & Geoeconomic Intelligence

Political-economic context, institutions, regulation, currency, trade, supply chains and implications for the operating model.

01.03

Risk & Scenario Analysis

Base case, downside, upside, leading indicators, triggers and mitigation measures linked to owners and timelines.

01.04

Counterparty & Ecosystem Mapping

Map of actors, interests, dependencies, incentives, operating capabilities and areas requiring further due diligence.

01.05

Decision Intelligence

Decision-committee-oriented synthesis: options, evidence, assumptions, disconfirming evidence and go/no-go criteria.

01.06

Specialist Escalation

Reserved activities are excluded from Sentinel’s scope and, where necessary, entrusted under a separate mandate to professionals or agencies authorised for the applicable activity and jurisdiction.

Outputs

Verifiable deliverables

02.01

Country Brief

Context, material factors, scenarios and consequences for the initiative.

02.02

Risk Register

Risk, probability, impact, triggers, mitigation and owner.

02.03

Decision Memo

Thesis, counter-case, options, conditions and decision gate.

02.04

Monitoring Dashboard

Leading indicators and reprioritisation.

Executive Diagnostic

Beslutningen kommer før mandatet.

En første strukturert samtale for å avklare mål, informasjonsgrunnlag, mangler og gjennomføringsforutsetninger.

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